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Logic outline for evaluation of wildfire danger

The logic outline specifies how data related to wildfire danger are interpreted in NetWeaverš, a logic modeling system. The level of each primary, secondary, and elementary topic in the outline is indicated. The overall topic of the model is wildfire danger. Evaluation of overall fire danger depends directly on the evaluation of the primary topics--fire hazard, fire behavior, and ignition risk.

Logic outline for evaluation of wildfire dangera

Model topic

Primary topicb

Secondary topic

 

Elementary topic

Propositionc

(stated in the null form)

Data inputsd

Fire danger (unione)

 

 

 

Danger of severe wildfire is low

 

 

Fire hazard (union)

 

 

Fuel conditions do not support severe wildfire

 

 

 

Surface fuels (union)

 

Condition of surface fuels is not conducive to severe wildfire

 

 

 

 

Fire behavior

fuel model

Expected fire behavior is not severe

FBFMarea, FBFMaggregation

 

 

 

Fuel characterization class

Observed fuel load classes are not conducive to severe wildfire

FCCarea,  FCCaggregation

 

 

Canopy fuels (union)

 

Condition of canopy fuels is not conducive to severe wildfire

 

 

 

 

Canopy

bulk density

Canopy bulk density is not conducive to severe wildfire

CBDarea, CBDaggregation

 

 

 

Canopy

base height

Canopy base height is not conducive to severe wildfire

CBHarea, CBHaggregation

 

Fire regime condition class

Fire regime condition class is not conducive to severe wildfire

FRCCarea, FRCCaggregation

Fire behavior

(union)

 

Expected fire behavior associated with wildfire is relatively benign or low impact

 

 

 

Spread rate

Likelihood of high spread rate of surface fire is low 

spreadRate

 

 

 

Flame length

Likelihood of high flame length is low

flameLength

 

 

 

Fireline intensity

Likelihood of high fire line intensity is low

firelineIntensity

 

 

 

Crown fire potential

Likelihood of high crown fire spread potential is low

crownfirePotential

 

Ignition risk (union)

 

 

Likelihood of wildfire ignition is low

 

 

 

 

Palmer drought severity index

Likelihood of long-term drought is low

palmerIndex

 

 

 

Keetch-Byram drought index

Likelihood of short-term drought is low

keetch-byramIndex

 

 

 

AVHRR NDVI

Relative plant greenness for the subwatershed is high

AVHRR-NDVI

 

 

 

Lightning strike

Relative lightning strikes in the subwatershed are low

lightningStrike

 

a The logic outline specifies how data related to wildfire danger (see Definition of data inputs) are interpreted in NetWeaver®, a logic modeling system.

b The level of each primary, secondary, and elementary topic in the outline is indicated. The overall topic of the model is wildfire danger. Evaluation of overall fire danger depends directly on the evaluation of the primary topics--fire hazard, fire behavior, and ignition risk. Terms in parentheses following a topic indicate the logic operator used to evaluate the propositions under a topic. For example, fire danger is evaluated as the union of hazard, behavior, and ignition risk. Subtopics shown under ‘Elementary topics evaluated’ indicate the elementary topics occurring at lowest level in the logic model where data are evaluated (see Definition of data inputs).

c Each proposition evaluates a set of premises (see footnote b) or data relative to a specific landscape unit. For this analysis, subwatersheds were the landscape units.

d Definitions of data items are presented in Definition of data inputs.

e The union operator treats the premises of a proposition as factors that incrementally contribute to the proposition.

Copyright: Public Domain

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