Logic outline for evaluation of wildfire danger
The logic outline specifies how data related to wildfire danger are interpreted in NetWeaverš, a logic modeling system. The level of each primary, secondary, and elementary topic in the outline is indicated. The overall topic of the model is wildfire danger. Evaluation of overall fire danger depends directly on the evaluation of the primary topics--fire hazard, fire behavior, and ignition risk.
Logic outline for evaluation of wildfire dangera | |||||
Model topic | Primary topicb | Secondary topic |
Elementary topic | Propositionc (stated in the null form) | Data inputsd |
Fire danger (unione) |
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| Danger of severe wildfire is low |
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| Fire hazard (union) |
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| Fuel conditions do not support severe wildfire |
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| Surface fuels (union) |
| Condition of surface fuels is not conducive to severe wildfire |
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| Fire behavior fuel model | Expected fire behavior is not severe | FBFMarea, FBFMaggregation |
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| Fuel characterization class | Observed fuel load classes are not conducive to severe wildfire | FCCarea, FCCaggregation |
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| Canopy fuels (union) |
| Condition of canopy fuels is not conducive to severe wildfire |
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| Canopy bulk density | Canopy bulk density is not conducive to severe wildfire | CBDarea, CBDaggregation |
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| Canopy base height | Canopy base height is not conducive to severe wildfire | CBHarea, CBHaggregation |
| Fire regime condition class | Fire regime condition class is not conducive to severe wildfire | FRCCarea, FRCCaggregation | ||
Fire behavior (union) |
| Expected fire behavior associated with wildfire is relatively benign or low impact | |||
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| Spread rate | Likelihood of high spread rate of surface fire is low | spreadRate |
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| Flame length | Likelihood of high flame length is low | flameLength |
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| Fireline intensity | Likelihood of high fire line intensity is low | firelineIntensity |
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| Crown fire potential | Likelihood of high crown fire spread potential is low | crownfirePotential |
| Ignition risk (union) |
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| Likelihood of wildfire ignition is low |
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| Palmer drought severity index | Likelihood of long-term drought is low | palmerIndex |
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| Keetch-Byram drought index | Likelihood of short-term drought is low | keetch-byramIndex |
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| AVHRR NDVI | Relative plant greenness for the subwatershed is high | AVHRR-NDVI |
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| Lightning strike | Relative lightning strikes in the subwatershed are low | lightningStrike |
a The logic outline specifies how data related to wildfire danger (see Definition of data inputs) are interpreted in NetWeaver®, a logic modeling system.
b The level of each primary, secondary, and elementary topic in the outline is indicated. The overall topic of the model is wildfire danger. Evaluation of overall fire danger depends directly on the evaluation of the primary topics--fire hazard, fire behavior, and ignition risk. Terms in parentheses following a topic indicate the logic operator used to evaluate the propositions under a topic. For example, fire danger is evaluated as the union of hazard, behavior, and ignition risk. Subtopics shown under ‘Elementary topics evaluated’ indicate the elementary topics occurring at lowest level in the logic model where data are evaluated (see Definition of data inputs).
c Each proposition evaluates a set of premises (see footnote b) or data relative to a specific landscape unit. For this analysis, subwatersheds were the landscape units.
d Definitions of data items are presented in Definition of data inputs.
e The union operator treats the premises of a proposition as factors that incrementally contribute to the proposition.
Copyright: Public Domain



